Which Species Dealate Forecasts

Dealate works anywhere in the world, and this is where most species actually land: most locally detected ants don't have a dedicated citation yet, so this is where the forecast has to earn its keep. Every one of them is matched to a genus-level general ecological model — a profile of the flight-triggering conditions documented for that lineage — built from the same body of published research as the dedicated list above, not a coin-flip placeholder.

That profile draws on several independent, real-world sources: literature-cited behavioral studies, flight-month records aggregated across dozens of genera worldwide, and citizen-science sightings cross-referenced against the weather actually recorded at the time. Where a genus is documented to fly on a different schedule, at a different time of day, or in hotter or cooler conditions than its relatives, that correction is layered in — so a heat-loving harvester ant and a cool-climate wood ant aren't scored against the same curve.

Only a genus with no research behind it yet falls back further, to a broader model based on climate zone — still grounded in where and when nuptial flights are actually known to cluster (temperate, tropical, or hot and humid), just without genus-specific tuning. That's the least-common case, and it keeps shrinking as more flight research and observation data get folded into the model.