Which Species Dealate Forecasts

Some species get thresholds tuned specifically to them, from published research. Every other locally-detected species still gets a forecast from a general model. Read how the forecast works →
Species with dedicated, literature-backed thresholds
These are the species with enough published research to tune the forecast to each one individually, rather than to its genus. For every species on this list we track a set of flight-triggering conditions read straight from the literature: the coolest temperature it will fly in and the temperature it prefers, the wind speed above which flights fizzle out, how much a flight leans on recent rain, whether it flies by day, at dusk, or after dark, and the months and latitudes where it's been recorded on the wing. What we keep private is the tuned numbers behind each of those, not which conditions we watch.
Black garden ant
Lasius niger
Yellow meadow ant
Lasius flavus
European fire ant
Myrmica rubra
Red imported fire ant
Solenopsis invicta
Harvester ants
Pogonomyrmex spp.
Leafcutter ant
Atta vollenweideri
Large red ant
Manica rubida
Barbary harvester ant
Messor barbarus
Madeira odorous ant
Tapinoma madeirense
Black odorous ant
Tapinoma nigerrimum
Mediterranean pavement ant
Tetramorium forte

Every other species still gets a forecast

Dealate works anywhere in the world, and this is where most species actually land: most locally detected ants don't have a dedicated citation yet, so this is where the forecast has to earn its keep. Every one of them is matched to a genus-level model: a profile of the same conditions we track for the dedicated species (the temperature range it flies in, its wind ceiling, how much it leans on recent rain, the time of day, and the flight months), but documented across the whole lineage rather than tuned to one species. It's built from the same body of published research as the dedicated list above, not a coin-flip placeholder.
That profile draws on several independent, real-world sources: literature-cited behavioral studies, flight-month records aggregated across dozens of genera worldwide, and citizen-science sightings cross-referenced against the weather actually recorded at the time. Where a genus is documented to fly on a different schedule, at a different time of day, or in hotter or cooler conditions than its relatives, that correction is layered in, so a heat-loving harvester ant and a cool-climate wood ant aren't scored against the same curve.
Only a genus with no research behind it yet falls back further, to a broader model based on climate zone. It's still grounded in where and when nuptial flights are actually known to cluster (temperate, tropical, or hot and humid), just without genus-specific tuning. That's the least-common case, and it keeps shrinking as more flight research and observation data get folded into the model.

See your species' forecast where you live

Dealate scores the day's best window, a rolling 7-day outlook, and a live forecast map for your own location, for whichever of these species (and their relatives) fly near you. A free Dealate account shows today's odds for your saved location; the full forecast for any place you choose is Dealate Pro, and every recurring plan starts with a 7-day free trial. A reason to look up, not a guarantee.
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Frequently asked questions

What happens if my species isn't on the dedicated list?

You still get a forecast. Dealate detects locally plausible species near you (via iNaturalist and GBIF records) and scores them with a general ecological model built at the genus level from the same published literature. It just doesn't have a species-specific threshold tuned to that one species yet.

Will more species get dedicated thresholds?

Yes. The dedicated list grows as more peer-reviewed research on a species' flight triggers becomes available and gets incorporated.
Every species, by genus (299)
Flight months, queen appearance and keeper facts for every species Dealate has published data on.
Plagiolepis