Which Species Dealate Forecasts

These are the species with enough published research to tune the forecast to each one individually, rather than to its genus. For every species on this list we track a set of flight-triggering conditions read straight from the literature: the coolest temperature it will fly in and the temperature it prefers, the wind speed above which flights fizzle out, how much a flight leans on recent rain, whether it flies by day, at dusk, or after dark, and the months and latitudes where it's been recorded on the wing. What we keep private is the tuned numbers behind each of those, not which conditions we watch.

Dealate works anywhere in the world, and this is where most species actually land: most locally detected ants don't have a dedicated citation yet, so this is where the forecast has to earn its keep. Every one of them is matched to a genus-level model: a profile of the same conditions we track for the dedicated species (the temperature range it flies in, its wind ceiling, how much it leans on recent rain, the time of day, and the flight months), but documented across the whole lineage rather than tuned to one species. It's built from the same body of published research as the dedicated list above, not a coin-flip placeholder.

That profile draws on several independent, real-world sources: literature-cited behavioral studies, flight-month records aggregated across dozens of genera worldwide, and citizen-science sightings cross-referenced against the weather actually recorded at the time. Where a genus is documented to fly on a different schedule, at a different time of day, or in hotter or cooler conditions than its relatives, that correction is layered in, so a heat-loving harvester ant and a cool-climate wood ant aren't scored against the same curve.

Only a genus with no research behind it yet falls back further, to a broader model based on climate zone. It's still grounded in where and when nuptial flights are actually known to cluster (temperate, tropical, or hot and humid), just without genus-specific tuning. That's the least-common case, and it keeps shrinking as more flight research and observation data get folded into the model.

Flight months, queen appearance and keeper facts for every species Dealate has published data on.